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Odds based on #PSGFCB starting XI. Betting markets slightly more bullish on Bayern than on Paris. Anyway, this is tight.
PSG: 43.2%
Draw: 30.1%
Bayern München: 26.7%
1:10 shots and 0.06 to 0.48 expected goals.
Bayern controlling the match, but PSG dangerous on breaks. Very even match. Don't be fooled by the shots. #PSGFCB #ucl #goalimpact
Predicted substitutions by the model were
Mbappé -> Emery
Ruiz -> Mendes
Kimpembe -> Soler
Actual not far off
Ruiz - > W. Zaïre-Emery
Mbappé -> C. Soler
Kimpembe -> Hakimi